|Welcome to Opposite Picks with Scott Wetzel. Join him when he calculates the outcome of NFL, NBA, NHL, MBA, NCAA College Baseball, Basketball, Hockey, and Football games. Scott boasts a winning record for 8 years straight and will supply you with the latest lowdown and stats on the favorites and the underdogs in both Pro and collegiate matchups. He knows the SU & ATS records of the teams and uses it like only he can. Scott Wetzel invites you to log in and find out who's beating the odds and who's going home a loser. Sports handicapping with Scott Wetzel on Opposite Picks. |
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Saturday, October 25, 2014...RED SOX ARE CHAMPS!!
Mad Dog Sports Radio...Sirius/XM channel 85
Oct. 25....Saturday NO SHOW
Oct. 31....Friday 11pm-2am
Nov. 1.....Saturday 3pm-7pm ET
NFL OPPOSITE PICKS: 20-20-2
DETROIT -4 vs Atlanta
We jumped off the Falcons bandwagon after their loss to Minnesota a couple of weeks ago
and we're not about to jump back on now. Their offensive line stinks and their defense
blows. That's not a good combination. Lions might get Calvin Johnson back this week.
If so then Atlanta is really doomed. Game's in London, so we're asking the Lions to
win on the road, which I hate doing. But I'll take my chances here. The Mike Smith watch
is all in for the Falcons.
OPPOSITE PICK: ATLANTA +4
INDIANAPOLIS -3 @ Pittsburgh
Hard not to like the Colts. First they are on 5 game winning streak...in which they've
covered all 5 games. Pitt really isn't any good. They had no business beating Houston
and they've already lost to mediocre Cleveland & god awful Tampa Bay. You can count on
one hand the amount of times Pitt's been getting points at home, but don't fall for that.
OPPOSITE PICK: PITTSBURGH +3
CHICAGO +6 @ New England
Bears are the rare NFL team in which plays better on the road than they do at home.
Their winless at home losing to Buffalo, GB & Miami, but they are 3-1 on the road
including a win at San Francisco. Go figure. I don't know if they will beat New England
straight up, but I'll grab them getting nearly a touchdown for sure.
OPPOSITE PICK: NEW ENGLAND -6
NY JETS -3 vs. Buffalo
Jets are 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS their last 9 meetings vs. their instate rivals. Why should this
year be any different. If Rex Ryan can get his depleted defense to contain Tom Brady, then
why not Kyle Orton? Bills lost all their RB's so it's resting on old man Orton's arm.
No thanks. Not with my $$. Jets at home should win as Geno Smith has shown some good signs
the last couple of weeks.
OPPOSITE PICK: BUFFALO +3
ARIZONA -2 vs Philadelphia
6-1 Cardinals are making believers out of me. The fact they can win with Carson Palmer
as their quarterback tells you about how deep this team is. Eagles are a very fortunate
one loss team as nearly all their wins went down to the wire...w/ the Giants victory being
the only exception. Team is coming off a bye and I generally DON'T like going with those
clubs. They tend to come out flat after being off for so long. Cardinals at home at near
pickem odds is the way to go.
OPPOSITE PICK: PHILADELPHIA +2
NEW ORLEANS -2 vs Green Bay
I know the Packers are rolling...but are they? This IS the same team that needed a miracle
finish to beat Miami just 2 weeks ago. They are also just 4-9 ATS their last 13 road games.
Saints meanwhile are struggling, but their season could be on the line. We all know their
great home record with Sean Payton as head coach...Saints: 21-5-1 ATS in home games inc: 17-1-1 run*** w/ Payton. Now we are getting them at near pickem odds? Wow, that is too good to pass up.
OPPOSITE PICK: GREEN BAY +2
CAROLINA +5 vs Seattle
I know the prevailing theory is "No way will Seattle lose 3 straight games." But the
prevailing theory heading into last weeks game was "No way will Seattle lose 2 straight games."
And not only did they lose, they lost to god awful St. Louis. There is something wrong with
this team. The Percy Harvin trade proved that. They are not making the playoffs and they have
no business being a nearly TD road favorite over a good Carolina team that got embarrassed last
week and should have something to prove at home this week.
OPPOSITE PICK: SEATTLE -5
CFB OPPOSITE PICKS: 29-26-1
AKRON -2.5 @ Ball St.
Ball St. has great ATS over the last few years...but not this year...not with this team.
Ball St. is only 2-5 SU & 3-4 ATS. More importantly, take a look at who they've lost to
this year...Army, Indian St., W. Michigan, C. Michigan...these teams stink and they still
beat Ball St. Akron on the other hand is 4-3 with their only losses coming to Penn St. Marshall
and Ohio. Not great, but not bad. They will bounce Ball St.
OPPOSITE PICK: BALL ST. +2.5
TCU -23 vs Texas Tech
Okay, time to jump on the TCU bandwagon. I've been reluctant to do this, but you can't
ignore them anymore. Even in a let down spot last week they crushed Oklahoma St. 42-9.
Who is Texas Tech to keep up with the Horned Frogs. They barely beat god awful Kansas
last week and have lost to every "real" they've played this year including by 32 to Kansas St.
I'm guessing TCU will beat them by a similar score. And if you don't like TCU on the field, then you have to like them in Vegas where they are a perfect 6-0 ATS this year. TCU has lost 2
straight to Tech so they will have a major chip on it's shoulder. TT by the way is an atrocious
2-9 ATS it's last 11 games! LOVE TCU.
OPPOSITE PICK: TEXAS TECH +23
MISSISSIPPI -3.5 @ LSU
Time to jump on the Ole Miss bandwagon as well as TCU. It's been 5 seasons since LSU has been
a home underdog outside of games against Alabama. You have to go all the way back to 2009 against
the Tim Tebow Florida Gators. But the times are a changing in the SEC. Out are LSU, Alabama & Florida...in are Ole Miss, Miss St. & Georgia. Ole Miss is 7-0 SU & 6-0-1 ATS this year. What they don't have is a big time win on the road unless you want to count Boise & Texas A&M, which I
don't. So they are all pumped up for a Saturday afternoon show down in Baton Rouge. LSU's had 9
players drafted each of the last two seasons. That is finally taken it's toll on the program
which has already lost at home to Miss. St. this year. The fact this is an afternoon game, rather
than a dreaded Saturday Night in Baton Rouge game helps Ole Miss's cause as well. Plus, Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze is a Vegas players dream. His teams with Ole Miss & Ark St. are now a $$ making, computer freezing, buzzy signal, wife walks in 33-11-1 ATS since 2011. Run with the Rebels as they will smoke, inject, snort, inhale, swallow the LSU Tigers.
OPPOSITE PICK: LSU +3.5
ARIZONA -2.5 @ Washington St.
Let me ge this straight...I can get a 5-1 team vs. a 2-5 team at near pickem odds? Are you
kidding me? Oh, this is the Boys in Vegas handing us an early Halloween present figuring
their only going to whack us later. Arizona vs. Kooky Mike Leach. This is too easy. Yes,
Arizona lost by 2 last time out to USC. But that was 2 weekends ago. They've had 14 days
to stew over their kicker missing a short FG to lose the game. They are going to be out
for blood against a Cougars team that has to the likes of Rutgers, Nevada & Cal already
this year. Plus, WST upset Arizona last year so that gives the Cats that extra chip on
its shoulder. LOVE teams in this role. Arizona wins by double digits!
OPPOSITE PICK: WASHINGTON ST. +2.5
MICHIGAN ST. -17 vs Michigan
Wow...Wolverines are not only getting 17 in a CFB game...they are getting 17pts vs. their big time rival in MST. They never been a 17pt dog to MST...never. The y were a 17pt dog last year to Ohio St. and they only lost by 1..42-41. Michigan is not the Michigan of old, I get that and MST
is pretty good. I get that too. And MST is the home team. But 17pts. Boys in Vegas are BEGGING you to take Michigan here. Don't fall for it. MST is already 4-1 ATS as 17pt favorites or more this year. They've won games by 24,38,39,42,59pts this year. Michigan meanwhile is waiving the
white flag on the season as even the AD this week LOWERED ticket prices for next season in an attempt to save his job. MST is going to crush Michigan.
OPPOSITE PICK: MICHIGAN +17
UTAH Pk vs USC
I'm not sure when Vegas & the public is going to finally jump off the USC bandwagon, but
it clearly hasn't happened yet. How else can you explain this game being pickem? Put
the teams in the other uniforms and USC would be a solid 5 or 6pt favorite. But since its
USC vs. Utah, the line is pickem. Let's recap.
Utah is 5-1 SU & ATS with wins over @ UCLA, @ Michigan, @ Oregon St.
They are 9-5 ATS last 14 games at home. Home team (Utah) has covered last 3 in this series.
USC is a respectable 5-2, but they lost @ Boston College and should have lost @ Arizona St. if the kid hits a 20yd FG at the buzzer. They are 4-11 ATS their last 15 road games!
Utah is going to win this game.
OPPOSITE PICK: USC Pickem
MEMPHIS -23 @ SMU
There won't be a week that goes by that I'm not pounding SMU. They STINK. By far the worst
team in College Football. They lost again last week...by 38 to Cincinnati. It doesn't matter
if they are home, away, favorites, underdogs, play during the day, night or on the moon for
that matter. This team SUCKS. How bad? They're 1-5 SU & ATS w/ their only cover coming in a 23pt loss to East Carolina. They've lost games by 37, 38, 45, 52, & 56pts. Now all I have to do is lay 23 w/ a Memphis team who has all 3 wins by 21+pts? This is a bargain! Remember this is the same team that nearly upset UCLA & Ole Miss. You'd have to be the biggest bird-brain, butt head, nincompoop, numbskull, nut case, simpleton, slacky, sucker, dope, ding-bat, duntz, dirt-bag, mope, muttonhead, jerk, jackass in the world to put American $ on SMU.
OPPOSITE PICK: SMU +23
WEEK 10 COLLEGE FOOTBALL TRENDS
TROY at SOUTH ALABAMA
Road team is 6-0 ATS in South Alabama games
SOUTH FLORIDA at CINCINNATI
SF head coach Willie Taggerts teams are 17-1 ATS on the road with USF & Western Kentucky inc: 6-1 with the Bull.
Cincy: 2-6 ATS last 8
BYU at BOISE STATE
BYU: 8-3 ATS last 11 as dog...2-0 ATS vs Boise
BYU: though on 0-5 ATS run...lost last 3 outright
OREGON at CAL (at Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara)
Ducks: 4-1 ATS vs Cal last 5 meetings
MLB PLAYOFFS VEGAS PICTURE
Underdogs: 12 wins
Favorites: 9 wins
Favs -1.5 runs: 4-5
Home teams: 9 wins
Road teams: 13 wins
OVERS: 11 UNDERS: 10
NFL SUICIDE POOL PICKS:
NFL VEGAS REPORT: After week 7
Home teams: 63-35-1 SU & 48-55-2 ATS (1 gm London)
Home dogs: 11-17 SU & 12-15-1 ATS
Favorites: 69-35-1 SU & 51-52-2 ATS
(1 pickem gm)
10pt Favs: 6-0 SU & 3-3 ATS
6pt+ Favs: 28-6-1 SU & 17-17 ATS
COLLEGE FOOTBALL THRU WEEK 8
1. FLORIDA ST.(Only Winston can screw them up now)
2. NOTRE DAME (respect in a loss vs. FST)
3. OLE MISS (BIG test this week)
5. MISS ST. (State of Miss. dominates CFB)
6. OREGON (Win over MST helps them tremendously)
7. OHIO ST. (Will prove to be the best in the B10)
BOTTOM 7 FEEDERS
1. SMU 0-7...this team will go winless
2. KENT ST...actually beat Army...still stinks
3. IDAHO 1-6...actually beat NMSTate
4. VANDY 2-5...Coming off bye week
5. Miami O...BIG game vs. Kent St. this week!
6. UCONN 1-6..This is why Big East fB is no longer
7. BALL ST. 1-6...Another bad loss LW
BEST OF THE NON BIG BOYS
1. EAST CAROLINA...Needs to turn it up a notch
2. MARSHALL...schedule is keeping this team down
3. TCU...No longer a "Non Big Boy?"
5. COLORADO ST..6-1 after close win over Utah St.
6. MEMPHIS...should crush SMU this week
7. KENTUCKY...5-2...LSU hammers them LW.
1. Miss QB Bo Wallace..in the lead
2. Ind RB Tevin Coleman...might be the year a great player on a bad team wins.
3. Everett Golson...have to drop him after ND loss
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