Scott Wetzel's OppositePicks.net - Sports Handicapping

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Today's show will be posted later today.

Here's the run down:
The latest on the Kobe tragedy
Leave it to the 4 letter network to hit a new low
The LA what she say?
NBA goes even lower
:24 seconds of silence
Best 1-2 punch in all of sports?
Pork you
This dog is Cooked
What’s the score?
Back to the grind for the NHL
The irony of it all
Stop it already

We’ll get to all of those stories, plus your phone calls, emails & tweets here on the SW show.
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SUPER BOWL NOTES
PRO KANSAS CITY
1st SB since SB 4 (50yrs ago)

Team w/ the LOWER regular season win % is 9-4 SU & 12-1 ATS

KC h/c Andy Reid is 18-3 following an off week.
In the post season he’s 4-2 with rest. (Kyle Shanahan is 2-2 w/ rest)

KC has scored 30+pts in 23 of the 35 games Pat Mahommes started. Chiefs averaging 34pts in 16 road games w/ Mahommes at QB.

PRO SAN FRANSISCO
Niners going for the record tying 6th SB win
Teams w/ better defense (SF) are 44-9

Niners are an underdog for the 1st time in 7 SB appearances

Last 6 SB winners were #1 seeds

49ers averaged 27.5PPG away from Levi’s Stadium.

NEUTRAL
Favorites are 35-17 straight up & 28-20-2 Against The Spread. (One game closed at a pickem)

Last SB in Miami Colts beat Chicago 29-17. Game went under thanks to a rain storm.

This is the 5th SB w/ a total of 54pts...UNDER is 3-1 in the previous four.

Teams with most yards in SB are 40-13
**Teams w/ most rushing yards in SB are 40-12
(1 game both teams had same rushing yards)

This is the 11th Super Bowl with a total of 50+pts. The UNDER is 7-3 inc: last year's 13-3 Pats win.

Chiefs are in their 3rd SB. 16 other teams previously in this spot are 8-8.

SB NOTES
OVERS: 28 UNDERS: 24 (No total for SB 1)
(5-2 OVER last 7) (Under is 9-5 though last 14)

Winning team has scored between 30-39pts 19 times yet no one has finished with exactly 36pts.

Andy Reid is 0-1 in Super Bowls losing to the Pats with the Eagles 15 years ago.

Kyle Shanahan is head coaching his first SB...was
the Offensive Coordinator for the Falcons in their 28-3 collapse to New England 3 years ago.

Jimmy Garrapoli is 23-5 SU & 22-4-1 ATS as a starting QB.

Pat Mahommes is 27-8 SU & 23-11-1 ATS as a starting QB

Mahomes is the 1st QB from a Big 12 school or Texas Univ. to start a Super Bowl.

Teams that score 27+pts in the SB are 28-4 SU & 25-6-1 ATS.
Teams that score 20pts or less are 2-24 SU & 4-21-1 ATS (Giants beat the Pats 17-14 in SBXLII and Pats beat LA 13-3 in SBLIII)

Winning SB teams are 45-6-1 ATS

The longest time that elapsed in a Super Bowl before either team scored was 26 minutes, which occurred in SB38 between New England and Carolina. The game still went OVER as the teams combined 24pts by half-time and 37pts in the 4th quarters as the Pats won 32-29.
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SB BETTING NOTES
6PT TEASERS...20 times BOTH teams would have won with the teaser. (37%)

Teasing the SB Favorite = 36-17 record
Teasing the SB Dog up = 35-16-2 record inc: 17-3 last 20 SB's**

9 times a 6pt teaser would have won on an OVER or an UNDER including 6 times in the last 20 SB's. (17%)

Teasing the total DOWN = 35-16-1 record
Teasing the total UP = 34-17-1 record

Teasing KC OVER (dropping the total) this year would only given you ONE more Over than the 10 regular OVER's they got.

Teasing KC totals UNDER (thus adding 6pts to the number) would've given you two additional wins and a push on top of the regular eight UNDER's they had.

Teasing SF UP 6pts gave you Four more ATS wins.
Teasing SF OVER's would produce 4 more OVERs out of the 9 games that went Under.

Teasing SF totals UNDER (Again, adding 6pts)
gave you 3 more UNDERS out of 8 games that went OVER with the original O/U number.

SB PARLAY/REVERSE COMBOS
Favorite/Over: 15 times
Favorite/Under: 11 times
Underdog/Over: 10 times
Underdog/Under: 13 times

(4 games omitted: SB 1 didn't have a total, three games pushed on either the game or total)

FAV/OVER has it only three times since 2000.
(Scratch KC & OVER play??)

THIS YEAR:
KC ATS Win/Over: 5 times
KC ATS Win/Under: 7 times
KC ATS Loss/Over: 4 times
KC ATS Loss/Under: 1 time
KC ATS Push/Over: 1 time

SF ATS Win/Over: 4 times
SF ATS Win/Under: 6 times
SF ATS Loss/Over: 4 times
SF ATS Loss/Under: 2 times
SF ATS Push/Over: 1 time
SF ATS Won/push total: 1 time

SB's have had 9 scoreless 1st quarters: 5-4 OVER
(3 in last 5 years)

KC games had 10 or more points scored in the 1st quarter 12 times inc: 10 exactly in 5 games.

KC games have had 27pts or less in the first half 11 times this year inc: 8 straight.

SF had 10+pts in the 1st qtr 12 of 18 games
SF had 27+pts in the 1st half 9 of 18 games

Last year’s SB had a Nevada decrease for the first time since 2015 taking in "only" $145.9 million after a record $158.6 million in 2018.
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SCOTT WETZEL PODCAST NFL PLAYOFF CONTEST

DUSTY LEE
Kansas City beats SF 51pts

DOM FROM ROCHESTER
Kansas City beats SF --51pts

JOHN NAVAGE JR.
Kansas City beats SF --56pts

DANIEL BROAD
Kansas City over SF --63pts

LUKE PORTER
San Fran beats KC - 49pts

MARTY FROM NC
San Fran beats KC -52pts

MARCUS RUDOLPH
San Fran beats KC 62pts

KEVIN STAN.
San Fran beats KC 65pts
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