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NFL Football - Free Picks
Submitted: 01/06/2012
NFL Lines
- THURSDAY
PITT -7 vs. Tenn = WIN

SEASON: 16-12-2

NFL GAME TRENDS
hit "READ MORE" **************
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2017/18 FREE NFL PICKS: 16-12-2
11/16 PITT -7 vs. Tenn
11/13 MIAMI +9 @ Carolina = LOSE
11/12 DET -12 vs. Clev = WIN
11/9 ARIZONA +6 vs. Seattle = PUSH
11/6 UNDER 43.5 Det/GB = LOSE
11/5 RAMS -4 @ NJ Giants = WIN
11/3 JETS +3 vs Buffalo = WIN
10/31 DENVER +7 @ KC = LOSE
10/30 DETROIT +3.5 vs. PITT = LOSE
10/26 UNDER 38 Mia/Bal = LOSE
10/23 OVER 49 Wash/Philly = WIN
10/19 KC -3 @ Oakland = LOSE
10/16 OVER 46 Colts/Titans = WIN
10/15 DENVER -11 vs. NYG = LOSE
10/12 CAROLINA -3 vs. Phil = LOSE
10/9 OVER 41 Minn/Chi = LOSE
10/8 MIAMI Pk vs. Tenn = WIN
10/5 NEW ENGLAND -4 @ TB = WIN
10/2 KC -7 vs. Wash = WIN

2016 FREE PICKS: 24-16-1
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NFL REGULAR SEASON WEEK #10

UPDATED SYSTEM TRENDS:
Teams playing 3rd straight road game are 43-21 OVER last 12 seasons inc: 2-1 this year.
(Cincy @ Denver this week)

Teams playing BEFORE their Bye week are 9-17 UNDER inc 5-11 last 3 weeks
*****


SUNDAY
DETROIT -3 @ CHICAGO
Bears: 13-26-4 ATS at home inc: 8-11-2 last 21
Bears: OVER 51-45 last 5+ yrs
Bears: UNDER 47-35 as an underdog
Lions: 11-23 ATS as road favorite
Lions: 18-29-1 ATS last 47 road games
Lions: 30-50-1 ATS as favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 pts (IF line moves)
Lions: 41-61-2 ATS last 5+ years
Lions: 62-81-2 ATS as favorite
Lions: 35-23-1 UNDER run, inc: 14-11 last 25
Lions: 21-7 UNDER road games


KANSAS CITY -10.5 @ NJ GIANTS
Chiefs: h/c Andy Reid is 19-3 SU after a bye inc: 17-1 vs sub .888 teams
Chiefs: 28-8 SU & 22-13-1 ATS inc: 5-4 TYr
Chiefs: 28-14 ATS on the road w/ h/c Andy Reid
Giants: 16-10 UNDER run


TAMPA BAY Pk @ MIAMI
Bucs: 37-26-3 ATS as a road underdog inc: 26-18-1 run (IF line moves)
Bucs: 32-45-2 ATS last 4 years
Bucs: 19-44-2 ATS where line is +3 to -3
Bucs: 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games
Bucs: 17-8-1 ATS Away off SU win
Bucs: 90-63-1 UNDER in games w/ line at +3 to -3
Bucs: 45-32-1 UNDER last 4+ yrs
Dolphins: 23-28-4 ATS in home games
Dolphins: 30-49-4 ATS vs. a team w/ a losing record
Dolphins: 25-14-1 OVER off road loss
Dolphins: Jay Cutler is 71-74 SU & 58-83-3 ATS
Dolphins: 17-27-4 ATS last 3+ years


BALTIMORE -2 @ GREEN BAY
Ravens: 5-0 OVER run
Ravens: 17-24-2 ATS since 2014
Ravens: 45-53-3 ATS since 2011
Ravens: 9-24-2 ATS as road fav
Ravens: 34-23 UNDER off an Over (1-5 this year)
Ravens: 83-70-1 UNDER last 8+ years
Packers: 22-7-1 ATS off road win
Packers: 32-24-2 ATS + 29-27 O/U last 56 at home
Packers: 13-7 UNDER last 20 home games
Packers: 78-57-2 ATS since 2008
Packers: 67-50 OVER...38-27 OVER last 65


LA RAMS @ MINNESOTA -2.5
Rams: 31-19 UNDER in NFC road games
Rams: 13-23-1 ATS last 36 road games***
Rams: 108-157-3 ATS vs. NFC since 1992
Rams: 60-84-1 ATS vs. winning teams since 1992
Rams: 86-114-3 ATS as an underdog since 1992
Rams: 156-200-3 ATS since 1992 inc: 39-44-4 last 87
Rams: 69-51 UNDER inc: 24-16-1 UNDER since 2014
Rams: 8-3 OVER last 11 games
Rams: 46-27 OVER after allowing 14 pts or less last game
Vikes: 32-20-3 ATS @ home inc: 13-3 run
Vikes: 63-49-3 ATS last 6+ years
Vikes: 27-11 ATS last 38 games, (but 9-9 last 18)
Vikes: 28-24-2 OVER at home
Vikes: 24-13-2 UNDER as a home fav: 3 pts or less


ARIZONA @ HOUSTON -2
Bruce Arians: 41-14 SU & 35-18-2 ATS vs sub .600 teams (inc: w/ Colts)
Cards: 24-11 ATS vs losing teams**
Cards: 34-30-2 ATS for Arians
Cards: 32-26 OVER off SU loss
Cards: 43-35 OVER as an underdog
Cards: 54-42-1 UNDER overall last 6+ years
Texans: 32-24-1 ATS at home
Texans: 32-25 UNDER as favorite
Texans: 22-19-1 ATS in games w/ the line +3 to -3
Texans: 44-29-1 ATS after 2+ consecutive losses


JACKSONVILLE -8 @ CLEVELAND
Jags: 30-35-1 ATS off ATS loss
Jags: 35-18 OVER after a home game
Jags: 4-12 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 pts
Jags: 10-21 ATS favorite last 3 seasons
Jags: 33-43-1 ATS last +3 years
Jags: 60-88-2 ATS last 5+ years
Jags: 25-17 OVER since '14
Browns: 32-30-2 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 pts
Browns: 13-33-1 ATS...7-25-2 ATS last 34 gms
Browns: 44-64-3 ATS last 6+ yrs
Browns: 10-22-2 as an Underdog
Browns: 60-44-3 UNDER last 5+ years


WASHINGTON @ NEW ORLEANS -8
Redskins: 31-43 ATS since 2012 inc: 28-36 ATS last 64
Redskins: 75-55 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 pts
Redskins: 76-69 UNDER since 2008
Redskins: 172-137 UNDER vs NFC
Redskins: 23-7 OVER...6-3 This year
Saints: 27-16-1 ATS at home w/ Payton, BUT 10-13 SU & 10-13 ATS last 23
Saints: 70-84-1 ATS home games vs NFC since 1992
Saints: 14-20 ATS as a Favorite
Saints: 51-31 OVER @ home
Saints: 34-20-1 OVER last 2+ years


CINCINNATI @ DENVER -2.5
Bengals: 34-22-3 ATS as dog since 2008
Bengals: 15-9-1 ATS as dog since 2013
Bengals: 154-175-6 ATS
Bengals: 141-172-2 ATS vs AFC
Bengals: 23-18-1 ATS last 2+ years
Broncos: 40-11 straight up at home (2-2 this year)
Broncos: 15-10 ATS off a SU loss**
Broncos: 32-37-1 ATS off ATS loss
Broncos: 40-50-4 ATS as favorite last 4 seasons
Broncos: 30-16 ATS vs losing teams last 2 years
Broncos: 12-8 OVER off a home loss
Broncos: 13-2 OVER after allowing 40+ pts
Broncos: 109-70-1 OVER as a home fav inc: 23-33-4 run


NEW ENGLAND -7 @ OAKLAND
Pats: 14-15 ATS as road favorites
Pats: 35-25 ATS road games
Pats: 183-148-2 ATS vs AFC since 1992
Pats: 92-66 ATS road games vs AFC since 1992
Pats: OVER 38-22 on road since '10
Pats: OVER 83-53-1 inc: 37-28-1 run
Raiders: 21-41 ATS as home dog of 7 pts or less
Raiders: 6-11 ATS at home
Raiders: OVER 41-23-2 last 3+ seasons
Raiders: OVER 19-5-1 at home


SUNDAY NIGHT:
PHILADELPHIA -4 @ DALLAS
Eagles: 20-11 ATS & 21-10 Under off bye week
Eagles: 8-15 ATS as road favs last 2 yrs
Eagles: 41-47-1 ATS BUT 10-3 last 23
Eagles: 47-34 OVER last 4+ years
Eagles: 27-16 OVER in NFC road games
Cowboys: 87-76 ATS HG vs NFC since 1992
Cowboys: 9-18-2 ATS at home
Cowboys: 14-10-1 ATS run
Cowboys: 49-58-1 ATS last 6+ yrs
Cowboys: 18-10 ATS as dogs
Cowboys: 24-20 OVER @ home



MONDAY NIGHT
ATLANTA +3 @ SEATTLE -3
Falcons: 36-31-1 ATS last 67 road games, BUT 14-20-1 last 35
Falcons: 76-64-3 ATS since 2008
Falcons: 18-21-1 ATS inc: 3-7 last 10
Falcons: 19-8-1 OVER...BUT only 3-6 This year
Seahawks: 25-17-1 ATS vs winning teams
Seahawks: 42-6 SU & 28-19 ATS at home w/ QB R. Wilson
Seahawks: 40-35-1 ATS off SU win
Seahawks: 52-38-5 ATS in since 2011
Seahawks: 10-6 OVER off a home loss
Seahawks: 40-26-1 UNDER last 3+ years








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SUPER BOWL NOTES:
TRENDS:
Play ON a Super Bowl team off 2 playoff SU & ATS wins allowing < 21pts in
each of its last 2 games vs. a team not favored off 2 playoff SU & ATS wins
allowing < 21pts in each of its last 2 games.
RESULT: 19-0-2 ATS, crushing the spread by more than 17 ppg

Play ON a SB team off last years Conference Championship SU loss allowing
less than 28 pts. (underdog if opponent also off a Conference Championship
SU loss allowing less than 28 pts last year).
RESULT: 10-0-1 ATS (covering by 13 ppg) since 1976

Play AGAINST a Playoff underdog off a Playoff SU & ATS win
with 2+ fumbles but no fumbles LOST in its last game.
RESULT: 0-9 ATS since 2005. (breaks go the other way the next game w/ the fumbls)

Play AGAINST a SB team off a Conference Champ. SU win scoring
39+ pts vs. team off a Conference Champ. non-OT SU win scoring 11+ pts in its last game.
RESULT: 0-9 ATS, failing to cover by more than 2 TDs on average!

Once in 6x has the Best Offense in the NFL beat the best Defense...
(49ers crushed the Broncos in Super Bowl XXIV 1990)

42 of the 51 Super Bowl winners had Top 10 ranked defenses
Higher seeded team is 2-12-2 ATS last 16 Super Bowls
***********************

Favorites 26-23-2 ATS BUT only 5-11 ATS last 16 seasons
OVER 26-24 (No total for SB #1)

**Super Bowl winner: 43-6 ATS w/ 2 pushes (97 & 2000)
(2009, 2005, 2004, 1996, 1989 & 1976 teams won, but didn't cover)
***


SUPER BOWL STATS/TRENDS:
Fav/Over: 15 Fav/Under: 7
Dog/Over: 13
Dog/Under: 16

SB teams that fail to score 21 pts in the SB are 1-22 SU & 3-19-1 ATS.
(Exception..Giants over the Patriots 17-14 in SBXLII)

Super Bowl teams scoring at least 27pts are 26-3 SU & 23-5-1 ATS.
(Exceptions Carolina (29) vs. Pats & SF (31) vs. Balt, Atlanta 28 vs. Pats
***************


NFL 2016/17 REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 151-100-1 SU & 119-122-11 ATS (4 gms N/A)
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 28-36-1 SU & 29-33-2 ATS
FAVS: 167-86-2 SU & 122-122-11 ATS (1gm Pick)
D/D FAVS: 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 59-38-2 SU & 52-43-4 ATS
HOME DOGS: 30-48 SU & 36-43-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-120-2


FAVS/OVERS: 65
FAVS/UNDERS: 62
FAVS/PUSH: 1
DOGS/OVER: 62
DOGS/UNDER: 54
DOGS/PUSH: 1
PUSH/OVER: 7
PUSH/UNDER: 4
*****
2015/16 REGULAR SEASON NFL
HOME TEAMS: 136-117 SU...117-130-6 ATS (3 gms London)
FAVORITES: 157-95 SU & 117-130-6 ATS (3 pickem)
10+PT FAVS: 15-5 SU & 9-11 ATS
3PT Favs or less: 46-47 SU & 38-49-6 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-53 SU & 42-41-3 ATS
OVERS: 118
UNDERS: 131
PUSH: 4
*****
*******
2015/16 VEGAS CONTEST: FINAL STANDINGS
70th place (51-34...12pts behind winner...1pt out of 50th place)

FINAL STANDINGS:
TPK: 17-9 (7-8 last 15 picks)
SCOTT: 17-13 (9-7 last 16 picks)
LOU: 17-12 (12-4 last 16 picks)
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2016/17: NFL OPPOSITE PICKS NONE DONE
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2015/16: NFL OPPOSITE PICKS: 53-50-1
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2014/15 NFL OPPOSITE PICKS: 53-60-5
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2013/14 NFL OPPOSITE PICKS: 48-42-4
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2012/13 NFL OPPOSITE PICKS: 65-57-4
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2009/10 NFL OPPOSITE PICKS: 61-62-3
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FREE PICKS:
2014 NFL FREE PICKS: 16-11
****

SUPER BOWL HISTORY
SB V.......Denver 24...........Carolina 10......Underdog/Under
SB 49......New England 28 (+1).Seattle 24.......O/U: 47.5..OVER....Glendale, AZ
XLVIII.....Seattle 43 (+2.5)...Denver 8.........O/U: 47.5..UNDER...
XLVII......Baltimore 34 (+4.5).San Francisco 31.O/U: 48....OVER...New Orleans, LA
XLVI.......NY Giants 21 (+2.5) New England 17...O/U: 53....UNDER..Indy, Indiana
XLV........Green Bay 31 (-3) ..Pittsburgh 25....O/U: 45....OVER...Arlington, TX
XLIV.......New Orlean 31(+6)...Indy 17..........O/U: 55....UNDER..Miami, FL
XLIII......Pitt 27.(-7)........Arizona 23.......O/U: 46....OVER...Tampa, FL
XLII.......Giants 17.(+12).....NE Patriots 14...O/U: 55....UNDER Glendale, AZ
XLI........Ind Colts 29.(-7)...Chicago 17.......O/U: 47....UNDER Miami, FL
XL.........Pittsburgh 21 (-4)..Seattle 10.......O/U: 47....UNDER Detroit, MI
XXXIX 2005.NE Patriots 24 (-7).Philly 21........O/U: 46.5 UNDER Jacksonville, FL
XXXVIII....NE Pats 32 (-7).....Carolina 29......O/U: 37.5 OVER Houston, TX
XXXVII.....TB Bucs 48 (+4).....Oakland 21.......O/U: 44....OVER San Diego, CA
XXXVI 2002.NE Pats 20 (+14)....St. Louis 17.....O/U: 53....UNDER New Orleans, LA
XXXV.......Baltimore 34 (-3)...NY Giants 7......O/U: 33....OVER Tampa, FL
XXXIV 2000.STL Rams 23 (-7)....Tenn Titans 16...O/U: 47.5 UNDER Atlanta, GA
XXXIII.....Denver 34 (-7.5)....Atlanta 19.......O/U: 52.5 OVER Miami, FL
XXXII......Denver 31 (+11).....GB Packers 24....O/U: 49....OVER San Diego, CA
XXXI.......Green Bay 35 (-14)..Patriots 21......O/U: 49....OVER New Orleans, LA
XXX........Dallas 27 (-13.5)...Pittsurgh 17.....O/U: 51....UNDER Tempe, AZ
XXIX.......SF 49ers 49 (-18.5).San Diego 26.....O/U: 53.5..OVER Miami, FL
XXVIII.....Dallas 30 (-10.5)...Buffalo 13.......O/U: 50.5 UNDER Atlanta, GA
XXVII......Dallas 52 (-6.5)....Buffalo 17.......O/U: 44.5 OVER Pasadena, CA
XXVI.......Washington 37 (-7)..Buffalo 24.......O/U: 49....OVER Minneapolis, MN
XXV........NY Giants 20 (+7)...Buffalo 19.......O/U: 40.5 UNDER Tampa, FL
XXIV 1990..SF 49ers 55 (-12)...Denver 10........O/U: 48....OVER New Orleans, LA
XXIII 1989 SF 49ers 20 (-7)....Cincinnati 16....O/U: 48....UNDER Miami, FL
XXII 1988..Washington 42 (+3)..Denver 10........O/U: 47....OVER San Diego, CA
XXI 1987...NY Giants 39 (-9.5).Denver 20........O/U: 40....OVER Pasadena, CA
XX 1986....Chicago (-10).......NE Patriots 10...O/U: 37.5 OVER New Orleans, LA
XIX 1985...49ers 38 (-3.5).....Miami 16.........O/U: 53.5 OVER Stanford, CA
XVIII......LA Raiders 38(+3)...Washington 9.....O/U: 48....UNDER Tampa, FL
XVII.......Washington 27(+3)...Miami 17.........O/U: 36.5 OVER Pasadena, CA
XVI........SF 49ers 26 (-1)....Cincinnati 21....O/U: 48....UNDER Pontiac, MI
XV.........Oakland 27 (+3).....Phil Eagles 10...O/U: 37.5 UNDER New Orleans, LA
XIV........Pitt 31 (-10.5).....LA Rams 19.......O/U: 36....OVER Pasadena, CA
XIII.......Pitt 35 (-3.5)......Dallas 31........O/U: 37....OVER Miami, FL
XII........Dallas 27 (-6)......Denver 10........O/U: 39....UNDER New Orleans, LA
XI.........Oakland 32 (-4).....Minnesota 14.....O/U: 38....OVER Pasadena, CA
X..........Pitt 21 (-7)........Dallas 17........O/U: 36....OVER Miami, FL
IX 1975....Pitt 16 (-3)........Minn Vikings 6...O/U: 33....UNDER New Orleans, LA
VIII 1974..Miami 24 (-6.5).....Minn Vikings 7...O/U: 33....UNDER Houston, TX
VII 1973...Miami 14 (-1).......Washington 7.....O/U: 33....UNDER Los Angeles, CA
VI 1972....Dallas 24 (-6)......Miami 3..........O/U: 34....UNDER New Orleans, LA
V 1971.....Baltimore 16(-2.5)..Dallas 13........O/U: 36....UNDER Miami, FL
IV 1970....KC Chiefs 23 (+12)..Minneosta 7......O/U: 39....UNDER New Orleans, LA
III 1969...NY Jets 16 (+18)....Baltimore 7......O/U: 40....UNDER Miami, FL
II 1968....GB 33 (-13.5).......Oakland 14.......O/U: 43....OVER Miami, FL
I 1967.....GB 35 (-14).........KC Chiefs 10.....O/U: NL....LA, CA



2014/15 NFL REGULAR SEASON
Home tms: 144-101-1 SU & 114-135-3 ATS (4 neutral)
Home dogs: 26-49 SU & 35-41-1 ATS
Favorites: 169-83-1 SU & 120-130-3 ATS
(3 pickem games)
10pt Favs: 21-2 SU & 11-12 ATS
6pt+ Favs: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 117-137-2

COMBOS
FAVS/OVERS: 54
PICK/OVER: 1
PICK/UNDER: 1
FAVS/UNDERS: 64
DOGS/OVERS: 59
DOGS/UNDERS: 69
DOGS/PUSH: 2
PUSH/OVERS: 1
PUSH/UNDER: 2
**********
NFL VEGAS 2013/14 REGULAR SEASON#'s
NFC was 34-29 SU vs the AFC
NFC vs AFC games were 48-14 OVER
HOME TEAMS*: 152-101-1 SU & 136-112-6 ATS
FAVORITES**: 179-75-1 SU & 132-115-8 ATS
10+pts DOGS: 7-27 SU & 16-17-1 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-61 SU & 44-47-2 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-118-4
GAMES DECIDED BY 7pts or less: 123 of 256
*2 games in London---no home team
** 1 game was Pickem--no fav or dog

COMBOS
FAVS/OVER: 66
FAVS/UNDER: 64
FAVS/PUSH: 2
UNDERDOGS/OVER: 61
UNDERDOGS/UNDER: 54
UNDERDOG/PUSH: 2
PUSH/OVER: 6
PUSH/UNDER: 1

2013/14 NFL POST SEASON
Home Team: 6-4 SU & 4-5-1 ATS + SBowl
Favorites: 9-3 SU & 5-6-1 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 4-7-1

Combos:
Favs/OVER: 2
Favs/UNDER: 2
Favs/Push: 1
Dogs/OVER: 1
Dogs/UNDER: 4
Push/UNDER: 1
*******
NFL 2012/13 regular season
Home Teams: 126-139-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 49-46-1 ATS
Home Favs: 77-88-1 ATS

NFL 2012/13 POST SEASON
Home Teams: 6-4 SU & 5-4-1 ATS
OVERS: 5
UNDERS: 5
Combos:
Fav/Under: 4
Fav/Overs: 2
Dogs/Under: 1
Dogs/Over: 2
Push/OVER: 1


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CHICAGO BEARS:
Bears: 16-29-3 ATS as Home Favorite
Bears: 19-7 OVER off road ATS Win
Bears: 13-30 ATS as road dog of 7pts or less
Bears: 10-6 SU vs. Vikes w/ avg margin of win: 13pts
Bears: 21-9 UNDER off d/d loss
Bears: 15-31 ATS in December road game
Bears: 18-8 ATS vs. AFC West
Bears: 3-14 ATS off 2 straight covers as favorite
Bears: 20-32 ATS after scoring 30+ pts
Bears: 4-7 ATS as a DD favorite



CINCY BENGALS
Bengals: 0-8 SU & ATS last 8 playoff gms inc: 0-7 w/ h/c Marvin Lewis
Bengals: 2-13-2 ATS last 17 vs. Pittsburgh at home****
Bengals: 75-98-4 ATS vs AFC North
Bengals: 24-13-3 ATS at home inc: 17-13-1 as Favs
Bengals: 34-39-2 ATS as a favorite


BUFFALO BILLS
Bills: 33-16 ATS off win by 3 pts or less
Bills: 24-12 UNDER in December
Bills: 29-16-1 UNDER after allowing 35+ pts
Bills: 13-2 ATS Away off 3+ straight losses
Bills: 21-7 ATS Away after allowing 35+ pts
Bills: 1-4-1 ATS in games in Toronto
Bills: 6-3 SU & 5-3-1 ATS vs. Jets last 3 yrs
Bills: 20-30-2 ATS last 52 RG's
Bills: 18-12 UNDER after allowing 14 pts or less
Bills: 17-10-1 ATS as an underdog
Bills: 32-37-1 ATS vs. winning teams
Bills: 42-56 SU & 45-52-2 ATS last 5+yrs
Bills: 54-47-1 OVER last 5+ years
Bills: 46-34-1 UNDER after allowing 30+ pts
Bills: 95-71-1 UNDER in games w/ the line: +3 to -3
Bills: 15-10 UNDER at home 2nd half of season



DENVER BRONCOS
Broncos: 57-41-2 ATS @ home vs winning teams since 1992
Broncos: 2-12 ATS off a road loss by 14+ pts
Broncos: 35-18 OVER off road game
Broncos: 10-2 SU & ATS last 12 vs. Oakland
Broncos: 10-18-2 ATS at home vs. division
Broncos: 8-19 ATS vs. NFC North
Broncos: 5-1 SU & ATS last 5 at San Diego
Broncos: 8-2 ATS at Oakland
Broncos: 24-30-3 ATS as a fav of 3.5 to 9.5 pts
Broncos: 10-3 SU & 8-4-1 ATS last 13 vs. San Diego
Broncos: 15-4 SU & ATS on the road vs AFC West since 2011
Broncos: 17-7 OVER Away off loss



CLEVELAND BROWNS
Browns: 0-14 SU & 2-12 ATS last 14 Division games
Browns: 14-24-3 ATS in games w/ the line +3 to -3
Browns: 29-10-1 UNDER as home fav of 3 pts or less
Browns: 10-5 ATS after scoring 30+ pts last game
Browns: 12-6 UNDER vs NFC South
Browns: 9-17 ATS as dog of 10+pts
Browns: 20-11 UNDER in dome games


TAMPA BAY BUCS
Bucs: 10-21-1 ATS as home dog of 7 pts or less
Bucs: 23-48-1 ATS @ home***
Bucs: 10-19 SU & ATS at home last 2 years
Bucs: 51-35-1 UNDER at home
Bucs: 42-21 UNDER off win by 14+ pts
Bucs: 12-4 UNDER off home loss by 21+ pts
Bucs: 15-5-1 ATS off SU loss as road favorite


ARIZONA CARDINALS
Cards: 29-34-3 ATS as favorites
Cards: 25-15 UNDER as road favorite****
Cards: 14-7 SU & 13-8 ATS + 15-6 UNDER vs RAMS
Cards: 11-21 ATS at home off BB wins
Cards: 9-3 ATS on Saturday
Cards: 2-14 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 pts***
Cards: 43-20 ATS at home off BB SU losses since '92
Cards: 17-11 ATS after a home loss
Cards: 17-7 ATS at home off 3+ ATS losses
Cards: 23-15 ATS at home off SU loss
Cards: 33-39-1 ATS vs winning teams last 3+ yrs
Cards: 38-34 OVER off an Under
Cards: 29-23-1 UNDER @ home
Cards: 30-19 UNDER vs. division



SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
Chargers: 6-19 ATS @ home
Chargers: 28-16 UNDER at home vs. AFC
Chargers: 56-28 UNDER at home vs. division
Chargers: 59-38-2 OVER vs. NFC
Chargers: 25-9 ATS in dome games
Chargers: 5-12 ATS vs. AFC North last 5 years
Chargers: 27-14 ATS after ATS win in 5 or 6 out of last 7 games
Chargers: QB P. Rivers 5-1 ATS as a playoff dog
Chargers: 10-17 ATS as road favs
Chargers: 28-9 ATS off 4+ ATS wins
Chargers: 33-21 OVER as road favorite
Chargers: 20-11 ATS as a home fav of 7.5 to 10 pts
Chargers: 4-1 ATS last 5 at KC
Chargers: 18-6 UNDER at home vs. Oakland
Chargers: Philip Rivers is 32-17 SU in December
Chargers: 19-8 ATS at Oakland
Chargers: 59-41 ATS off BB ATS wins inc: 21-16 last 37
Chargers: 21-13 OVER Away off home game
Chargers: 28-5 ATS vs. AFC South***
Chargers: 21-29-1 ATS inc: 5-11-1 last 17 gms
Chargers: 23-12-2 ATS as road dog since 2012
Chargers: 37-28-1 OVER in road games



KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Chiefs: 5-10 ATS @ home
Chiefs: UNDER 28-14 at home
CHIEFS/RAIDERS: ROAD TEAM is 21-7-1 ATS
CHIEFS/RAIDERS: UNDER 12-7 last 19
Chiefs: 21-34 ATS vs. AFC East
Chiefs: 17-4 ATS as double digit underdog
Chiefs: 25-11 ATS in road games after a loss by 10+ pts=
Chiefs: 23-8 ATS vs. NFC West
Chiefs: 23-10 OVER off 3+ ATS losses
Chiefs: 3-8 SU & 1-10 ATS in last 11 Wild Card games
Chiefs: 1-10 SU & ATS in postseason play since 1994
Chiefs: 32-16-1 ATS in non-conf home games
Chiefs: 32-35 ATS Away off BB SU wins


INDY COLTS
Colts: 15-7 OVER off home loss
Colts: 40-27-3 ATS w/ A. Luck at QB
Colts: 14-8-1 ATS last 23 as Home Favs
Colts: 42-19 OVER off SU loss as favorite
Colts: 10-2-1 ATS on Thursdays
Colts: 26-12 ATS off BB covers as favorite
Colts: 20-10 OVER vs. NFC East
Colts: 10-2 UNDER in Saturday games
Colts: 13-2 ATS off road win by 21+ pts
Colts: 13-4 ATS off 2 straight double digit wins
Colts: Visiting team are 6-16 ATS in Indy postseason games
Colts: 4-13 ATS at home vs. New England
Colts: 23-14-2 ATS RF of 3 pts or less since 1992
Colts: 22-10 OVER vs. non-conference
Colts: 28-44 ATS in HG vs a losing team since 1992
Colts: 14-6 SU & 8-11-2 ATS vs. Texans + 14-10 OVER
Colts: 7-17 ATS off BB losses by 10 or more
Colts: 36-29-4 ATS on road
Colts: 26-21-1 ATS vs. losing teams
Colts: 51-34 OVER Away off SU Loss
Colts: 21-9 OVER road games
Colts: 33-23-2 OVER off an Under
Colts: 47-37-4 ATS off SU win
Colts: 29-14-1 ATS at home***
Colts: 33-25-2 ATS last 3+ years
Colts: 101-60-1 UNDER in home games vs AFC


DALLAS COWBOYS
Cowboys: 14-31-1 ATS off a home loss
Cowboys: 18-12 ATS home games vs NFC North since 1992
Cowboys: 33-17 ATS off loss by 14+
Cowboys: 7-3 OVER vs. Giants
Cowboys: 38-56 ATS last 4 weeks of the regular season since '92
Cowboys: 17-5 ATS in home games after having lost 3 out of their last 4
Cowboys: 2-11 ATS Away off cover as DD favorite
Cowboys: 25-17 ATS at home off BB ATS losses
Cowboys: 3-8 ATS last 11 playoff games
Cowboys: 11-8 ATS as a road fav of 3pts or less
Cowboys: 5-13 ATS off win by 28+ pts
Cowboys: 11-28 ATS as home favs inc: 4-11 ATS when 7+ Favs
Cowboys: 25-43 ATS as favorites**
Cowboys: 19-10 SU & 17-12 ATS on road
Cowboys: 18-14 OVER road games



MIAMI DOLPINS
Road team: 10-4-2 ATS Dolphins vs Jets games**
Dolphins: 14-32-2 ATS vs. Jets
Dolphins: 27-44-1 ATS off SU dog win
Dolphins: 17-30-3 ATS in HG after 2 or more straight wins since '92
Dolphins: 5-18-2 ATS at home off a win by 3 or less
Dolphins: 10-5 ATS as a d/d road dog
Dolphins: 15-30-1 ATS after 2 game road trip
Dolphins: 13-23-3 ATS last 38 Sept. games
Dolphins: 41-16 ATS vs. AFC West
Dolphins: 7-21-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5pts
Dolphins: 2-8 ATS off BB home losses
Dolphins: 17-7 ATS as road dog of 3pts or less**
Dolphins: 22-16 ATS Away off SU win
Dolphins: 31-26 ATS RG/neutral site vs AFC last 3+ seasons
Dolphins: 24-6 OVER at home 1st half of season



PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Eagles: 14-3 UNDER after scoring & allowing 30+ pts last game
Eagles: 38-27 UNDER after allowing 30+ pts
Eagles: 33-26 ATS vs NFC North since 1992
Eagles: 26-13 UNDER after allowing 25+ pts BB gms (1-3 current streak)
Eagles: 32-21 ATS vs. NFC West
Eagles: 173-144-1 ATS vs NFC since 1992
Eagles: 21-24-1 ATS at home
Eagles: 40-34 OVER @ home
Eagles: 38-21 OVER off an Under inc: 26-14 run



ATLANTA FALCONS
Falcons: 6-22-1 ATS at home off home win
Falcons: 18-36-1 ATS in 2nd of BB home games
Falcons: 12-26 ATS in home games off a win vs division rival since 1992
Falcons: 22-8 ATS last 4 weeks of the regular season last 3 years***
Falcons: 6-17-1 ATS as a home dog of 3.5 to 7pts
Falcons: 2-15 ATS at home off 3+ ATS wins
Falcons: 11-6 ATS after scoring 40+ pts
Falcons: 38-56-1 ATS after scoring 30+
Falcons: 9-4 ATS after a bye with Matt Ryan as QB
Falcons: 15-8 ATS after scoring 14 pts or less
Falcons: 27-11 OVER after scoring 9 pts or less
Falcons: 8-15 ATS as home favs since 2014**
Falcons: 9-16 ATS after a SU loss

NY GIANTS
Giants: 15-12 ATS as home favs
NY is 8-4 in the playoffs w/ QB Eli Manning and 7 wins on the road
Giants: 26-12 ATS off outright division win as dog
Giants: 6-2 SU & ATS last 8 vs. Washington
Giants: 15-1 Under as a road fav of 3.5 to 7 pts
Giants: 19-7-1 ATS in road games vs NFC North since 1992
Giants: 26-18 ATS Away after allowing 30+
Giants: 4-8 ATS at home after scoring 30+ pts
***Giants: 16-2 ATS as dogs vs. AFC East inc: 11-0 when getting 3+ pts**
Giants: 55-32 ATS off a win vs division team since 1992



JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Jags: 13-5 ATS after scoring 6 pts or less
Jags: 5-17-1 ATS as a home dog
Jags: 37-48-2 ATS as dog
Jags: 27-23 ATS off BB road games
Jags: 22-21 ATS in HG vs NFC since 1992
Jags: 22-46-1 ATS home games last 3 yrs


NY JETS
Jets: 53-80 ATS at hm off a RG inc: 21-25 ATS last 46 times
Jets: 42-65-1 ATS off a road loss
Jets: 3-12 ATS off BB home wins
Jets: 19-19 ATS as Home favs
Jets: 26-16-2 ATS off home division loss
Jets: 28-19-1 OVER off an Under**
Jets: 20-10 ATS at home off home loss
Jets: 49-42-2 OVER vs. AFC
Jets: 30-34-3 ATS vs losing teams last 3 yrs
Jets: 30-26-7 ATS in road games BUT 3-8-4 last 15
Jets: 24-17-4 ATS last 2+yrs
Jets: 69-57-2 OVER last 7yrs
Jets: 34-27 OVER in road games


DETROIT LIONS
Matthew Stafford 1-20 SU on the road vs. Teams that finish w/ a winning record
(So will the Vikes finish with a winning record??)
Lions: 5-12-1 ATS off SU home dog win
Lions: 0-3 in post season w/ Matthew Stafford
Lions: 6-20 ATS Away vs. NFC West
Lions: 4-9 SU & ATS last 13 on Thanksgiving***
Lions: 24-12 ATS off double digit home loss
Lions: 15-5 ATS off a home loss by 21+ pts
Lions: 15-5 ATS off loss by 28+ pts
Lions: 9-0 Over off win by 28+ pts
Lions: 16-2 Over off win by 21+ pts
Lions: 11-24 ATS off SU loss as home favorite
Lions: 23-40-1 ATS as a road dog of 3.5 to 7 pts since '92
Lions: 30-29-1 ATS in home games
Lions: 26-18-1 OVER at home
Lions: 24-14 OVER vs. AFC***


GREEN BAY PACKERS
Packers: 14-2 ATS off 2 game road trip
Green Bay is 9-6 in the playoffs w/ QB Aaron Rodgers inc: 4-3 at Lambeau Field.
Packers: 16-9 ATS off cover as DD favorite
Packers: 11-5 ATS last 16 playoff games
Packers: 53-28 OVER as a home fav of 7.5 to 14 pts
**A. Rodgers: 37-13 SU & 33-17 ATS in division inc: 17-5 SU/ATS off an ATS loss***
Packers: 40-25-2 ATS as H-Favs
Packers: 69-42-1 ATS vs winning teams 2nd half of season since '92
Packers: 14-4 SU & 11-6-1 ATS vs tms that played previous Monday nite (0-4 run)
Packers: 37-25-1 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins last 3 yrs
Packers: 8-7 ATS as road favs the past 2 seasons (0-4 run)
Packers: 28-16 ATS off 3 straight wins
Packers: 33-22-1 ATS vs winning teams
A. Rodgers: 37-13 SU & 33-17 ATS in division
Packers: 68-45-1 ATS as favs last 3+ yrs
Packers: 11-4 ATS off a bye***
Packers: 31-20-2 ATS @ home vs NFC last 3+ yrs
Packers: 24-2 SU & 18-8 ATS @ hm vs Detroit (1-2 last 3 years though)
Packers: 17-6 ATS last 23 vs Lions***
Packers: 26-15 ATS as R-DOG****
Packers: 15-4 SU & 14-5 ATS + 14-5 UNDER vs. Bears****
Packers: 18-22 ATS on road
Packers: 88-56 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses


CAROLINA PANTHERS
Panthers: 81-54-2 ATS vs. tms w/ a losing record since '92
Panthers: 5-10 ATS last 15 season openers (covered in 2017)
Panthers: 17-4 ATS all-time vs. 49ers inc: 6-1 at home***
Panthers: 15-3-1 ATS at home December games last 3 years***
Panthers: 6-3 ATS last 9 vs. Falcons
Panthers: 9-2 ATS as a home dog of 7.5 to 14 pts
Panthers: 13-2-1 UNDER at home vs. Tampa Bay
Panthers: 9-5 ATS last 14 at home vs. Saints
Panthers: 16-7 ATS playing with revenge
Panthers: 55-34-1 ATS December games inc: 21-14-1 last 36 gms
Panthers: 20-11-1 UNDER at home off ATS loss
Panthers: 23-5 UNDER off road division win
Panthers: 60-37 ATS after allowing 14 pts or less
Panthers: 106-81-1 ATS as a dog since 1992
Panthers: 47-22-1 UNDER at home vs div opponent
Panthers: 20-11-1 ATS at home***(2-3 this year)
Panthers: 30-15 UNDER as a home favorite
Panthers: 55-29-1 UNDER @ home inc: 24-13 last 37


NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Pats: 48-35-3 ATS @ home inc: 22-11-3 last 36
Pats: 48-23 OVER at home since 2010
Pats: 18-10-2 OVER as home fav 3.5 to 7pts
Pats: 15-8 OVER after allowing 30+ pts
Pats: 39-23 ATS off 3 straight ATS wins
Pats: Tom Brady 24-9 playoff record inc: 17-3 SU & 11-8-1 ATS at home
Pats: 16-3 ATS last 19 @ Buffalo***
Pats: 24-3 SU vs Bills***
Pats: 86-49 ATS as a dog inc: 18-5-1 ATS in reg. season since '06
Pats: 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS last 8 vs Miami at home
Pats: 8-0 Under off BB road losses
Pats: 9-12 ATS last 20 playoff games
Pats: 25-9 SU in post season under Belichick/Brady
Tom Brady: 12-4 ATS in dome games

Pats: 49-34 ATS in division road games
Pats: 31-9 SU & 18-20-2 ATS vs AFC East
Pats: 26-15 OVER vs AFC East

OAKLAND RAIDERS
Raiders: 12-23 ATS off SU dog win
Raiders 6-4 SU at KC...plus 10-3-1 ATS last 14 at KC
Raiders: 30-56 ATS L4 wks of the season
Raiders: 33-62 ATS in December games
Raiders: 31-17 ATS as a road dog of 3.5 to 7 pts
Raiders: 14-26 ATS vs. NFC
Raiders: 42-78-1 ATS vs. team w/ losing record inc: 14-24 run
Raiders: 27-46 ATS in home games vs division since 1992
Raiders: 47-86-1 ATS if line is +3 to -3
Raiders: 17-10-1 ATS Away off ATS loss
Raiders: 35-27-1 ATS off ATS loss


ST. LOUIS RAMS
Rams: 6-4 SU & ATS vs. Seahawks
Rams: 15-29-1 ATS as a road dog of 3.5 to 7 pts
Rams: 37-47-2 ATS underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 pts last 3 yrs
Rams: 10-32 ATS with same season revenge
Rams: 23-32 ATS vs. NFC West last 3 seasons
Rams: 34-44-1 ATS in home games
Rams: 53-38 OVER vs. AFC


BALTIMORE RAVENS
Ravens: 11-21-2 ATS Away off ATS win
Ravens: 27-10 UNDER vs. AFC South
Ravens: 15-8-1 ATS as road dog of 3 pts or less
Ravens 9-6 UNDER in playoffs under John Harbaugh
Joe Flacco has an NFL record 7 playoff road wins
Ravens: 4-1-1 ATS last 6 at New England inc: 2-2 SU in the playoffs
Ravens: 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS last 9 at Cleveland
Ravens: 22-28 ATS off 2 game road trip
Ravens: 45-30-1 ATS off a road win
Ravens: 29-29-1 ATS vs. losing teams
Ravens: 21-11 ATS at home after scoring 30+pts
Ravens: 19-12-1 ATS Away off ATS loss
Ravens: 72-55-1 ATS as home favorite
Ravens: 69-48-3 ATS @ home inc: 19-14 run



WASHINGTON REDSKINS
Redskins: 22-31 ATS @ home
Redskins: 74-92 ATS vs. NFC East since 1992
Redskins: 59-93 ATS as a fav since '92
Redskins: 25-19 UNDER as a favorite
Redskins: 14-31 ATS home games in September since 1992
Redskins: 10-15 ATS at home vs. Philadelphia
Redskins: 14-7 UNDER at home if total is 35.5 and 42
Redskins: 44-26 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 pts


NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Saints: 22-31-1 ATS in 2nd of BB Home games
Saints: 29-50 ATS at home vs. division
Saints: 26-21 UNDER vs division
Saints: 8-1 Under off 2 straight road wins
Saints: 7-3 OVER in playoff games w/ Drew Brees as QB (o-1 TY)
Saints: 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS away in the playoffs
Saints: 6-11 ATS last 17 playoff games
Saints: 7-15 ATS as double digit fav
Saints: 15-7 SU vs. Falcons under h/c Sean Payton
Saints: 7-16 ATS at home vs. Falcons **
Saints: 20-34 ATS in December home games
Saints: 25-7 ATS off a road loss**
Saints: 19-27 ATS at home off loss by 10+pts
Saints: 35-20 ATS off SU loss**
Saints: 18-10 ATS as a road favs of 3 pts or less since 1992
Saints: 22-15-1 ATS vs. AFC
Saints: 19-15 UNDER on road



SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Seahawks: 14-6 SU & 14-4-1 ATS as a dog w/Russell Wilson
Seahawks: 17-23-1 ATS as road underdog
Seahawks: 20-8-1 ATS as dogs inc: 11-7-2 w/ h/c Pete Carroll
Seahawks: 28-21 OVER as underdog
Seahawks: 12-3 UNDER vs. Rams
Seahawks: 9-2-1 ATS vs. Niners***
Seahawks: 2-6 SU as a playoff visitor under Pete Carroll
Seahawks: QB Russell Wilson is 8-4 SU & 6-6 ATS in the postseason
Seahawks: 65-35 ATS in December games since 1992
Seahawks: 1-7 SU & 1-4-3 ATS away vs AFC North
Seahawks: 5-13 ATS off SU dog win by 14+ pts
Seahawks: 8-20-2 ATS Away vs. AFC
Seahawks: 20-7 OVER after losing 2 of last 3 games
Seahawks: 31-39-4 ATS on road





PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Steelers: 17-24-1 ATS as a RF of 3 pts or less since 1992
Steelers: 59-37 ATS in October
Steelers: 17-9 ATS + 16-10 OVER off a road loss
Steelers: 13-7 SU in the playoffs w/ Ben R. @ QB
Steelers: 3-5 SU & 2-4-2 ATS last 8 postseason games
Steelers: 10-5 SU & 10-3-2 ATS last 15 non Super Bowl postseason games
Steelers: 22-12 OVER in playoff games
Steelers: 22-5 SU & 20-6-1 ATS @ Cincinnati since 1992
Steelers: 7-10 ATS as a home fav of 3 pts or less
Steelers; 7-3 ATS as home dogs under h/c Mike Tomlin
Steelers: 13-5 OVER on Saturday
Steelers: 12-24 ATS as a double digit favorite
Steelers: 12-2 ATS playing w/ revenge
Steelers: 76-54-2 ATS as underdog, but 17-17-2 ATS last 36
Steelers: 36-19-2 UNDER Away off SU loss
Steelers: 5-17 ATS as a road fav of 7.5 to 14 pts****
Steelers: 23-32-3 ATS on road***
Steelers: 21-5 UNDER last 26 road games**
Steelers: 23-11 ATS as Favorites
Steelers: 33-17 ATS off ATS loss
Steelers: 23-12 ATS @ home
Steelers: 108-75-2 ATS favs of 3.5 to 9.5 pts
Steelers: 59-31 ATS HOME favs of 3.5 to 7 pts since '92
Steelers: 68-47-5 ATS vs. AFC
Steelers: 34-16 UNDER inc: 8-2 this year
Steelers: 30-21 UNDER @ home



HOUSTON TEXANS
Texans: 39-19 OVER vs. division
Texans: 4-12-1 ATS off SU win as home dog
Texans: 24-12-1 ATS in 2nd of BB road games
Texans: 11-7 ATS in home December games
Texans: 12-1 SU & 11-2 ATS last 13 vs. Tenn
Texans: 29-50-1 ATS Away off home game

TENNESSEE TITANS
Titans: 10-24-1 ATS at home**BUT 6-2 last 8
Titans: 17-35 ATS as Fav***
Titans: 27-11 OVER if total is 35.5 to 42
Titans: 26-12 ATS as home favorite of 3 pts or less
Titans: 21-9 OVER off BB road games
Titans: 11-6 UNDER at Indianapolis
Titans: 50-24-2 ATS vs. NFC
Titans: 17-17 SU & 12-21-1 ATS w/ h/c Mike Mularky
Titans: 18-37 SU & 18-36-2 ATS last 3+ years
Titans: 14-20-1 ATS on road
Titans: 39-61-4 ATS & 55-48-1 OVER last 5+ years
Titans: 17-6 UNDER Away off home win
Titans: 20-8-1 OVER...7-3 This year


MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Vikes: 35-29-1 ATS as an underdog
Vikes: 27-13 OVER Away off BB home games
Vikes: 24-42-1 ATS off SU loss as fav
Vikes: 36-53 ATS Away off ATS loss
Vikes: 17-3 ATS their last 20 December games
Vikes: 11-2 ATS at home off loss by 21+
Vikes: 6-18 ATS in road games after a win by 3 or less
Vikes: 27-14-1 ATS as fav. of 3.5 to 9.5 pts last 3 yrs
Vikes: 38-35-1 OVER road games
Vikes: 31-21-1 UNDER road games if total is between 42.5 & 49pts



SAN FRANCISCO 49ers
49ers: 21-31-3 ATS as dog
49ers: 14-32-1 ATS inc: 6-17-1 run (4-6 this year)
49ers: 28-42-3 ATS last 4+ yrs
49ers: 39-51-4 ATS last 6+ yrs
49ers: 72-70-9 ATS last 8+ yrs
49ers: 27-27-1 ATS HOME games
49ers: 14-8 UNDER @ home BUT 8-4 OVER run
49ers: 27-17-1 UNDER vs. division
49ers: 5-16-1 ATS as road dogs
49ers: 25-32-5 ATS vs. winning teams
49ers: 32-16 ATS vs. St. Louis....7-7 last 14 though
49ers: 24-10 OVER off bye week
49ers: 18-8 OVER at home if total is 35.5 to 38
49ers: 15-32-2 ATS Away off win by 14+
49ers: 30-23-2 ATS as favorite
*****


******************
******************
******************
******************



***************
UPDATED AFTER 2015/16 PLAYOFFS
Teams w/ byes: 77-27 SU but only 52-50-2 ATS
(Since 2006, bye teams are 26-14 SU & only 15-25 ATS inc: 2-2 in 15/16)

Winning Wild Card Round road favorites are 8-3-1 ATS in his round.

Since 1990 when seeds were created:
NFC #1 seeds: 22-4 SU & 16-10 ATS in this round
AFC #1 seeds: 16-10 SU & 10-15-1 ATS

#1 seeds off a win are 23-10 SU & 13-19-1 ATS

Since 2006 post season #1 seeds are 12-8 SU & 5-14-1 ATS in divisional round games.

At least 1 top seed has lost in 6 of the past 9 seasons.
Favored teams laying a TD or more: 44-35-3 since '75.

Divisional Playoff Results (1975-2015/16)
Favorites ATS: 81-77-5 (1 pick)
Favorites straight up: 115-48
Favored by 0-3 points: 11-15-1
Favored by 3½-6½ points: 27-24-1
Favored by 7-9½ points: 28-26-2
Favored by 10-13½ points: 13-8
Favored by 14+ points: 3-3-1
Home teams straight up: 117-47
Home teams ATS: 83-76-5
Home favorites ATS: 78-73-5
Home underdogs ATS: 4-3
Home picks ATS: 1-0
OVER/UNDER's (since 1986) 65-55
**********

BLOWOUT CITY!
Divisional Playoff Margins of Victory
1-3 pts: 36 games
4-6 pts: 15 games
7-10 pts: 31 games
11-13 pts: 14 games
14+ pts: 68 games
*********


DEFENSE WINS:
41 of the 50 Super Bowl winners were ranked in the Top 10 in defense.


PROP PLAYS/QUESTIONS:

PROP QUESTIONS:
1…First play from scrimmage….RUN OR PASS
15 yard run…offensive holding penalty…sets up 1st & 5? Next play is a pass.
What’s the first official play from scrimmage?

2. Will first pass of Tom Brady be a completion/incompletion/INT
Brady passes….defensive pass interference penalty….next pass complete.
What’s the correct answer?

3…Total Punts in game…7.5
Pats have punt blocked…ball lands behind the line of scrimmage.
Does that count as a punt?

4….Total # of missed Field Goals….2.5
Do block field goal tries count as a miss?

5…Total # of Patriot players to score…..4
Do kickers extra points count as “a player to score?”

6….Will there be a missed XPT?
Do 2pt conversion tries count for this?

7. WILL THERE BE A 2PT CONVERSION ATTEMPT? YES or NO
Xtra pt kick is blocked..kicking team player is tackled w/ the ball trying to score.
Does that count as a two pt try?

8. WILL THERE BE A SUCCESSFUL 2pt CONVERSTION TRY?
Same scenario except the defensive team recovers blocked kick & returns it for 2pts.
Does that count as a “successful 2pt conversion try?”

9….Will a team score 3 times in a row?
Do 2pt conversion tries count?

10…Total Kick off returns?
ouchbacks count?

11….Which team calls a timeout first….Pats/Falcons?
Before either team calls a timeout, the Pats lose a challenge…hence lose one TO.
Does this count as the Patriots calling the first time out?

12…Patroits line up to punt and instead punter throws a TD pass.
Does this count as a Special Teams touchdown?

13….FIRST TURNOVER: FUMBLE OR INTERCEPTION? Interception...man then fumbles ball back to original offense team.
Is INT the 1st turnover….or does it go to the next turnover?

14. WHO GETS BALL FIRST?
Opening kickoff is an on-sides kick recovered by kicking team.
Does receiving team get credit for a possession even though they DID NOT recover the onsides kick?

15. IS THERE A LEAD CHANGE IN THE 2nd HALF?
Patriots lead 17-10 at the half…Falcons score to the tie the game at 17…Pats score next and win 20-17.
Does the tie represent a “Lead Change?”

THINGS OF NOTE
First accepted penalty….Patriots/Falcons
Offsetting penalties….then holding on New England…PATROITS is the correct answer

NEW FOR 2018
Does OT change of lead count for 2nd half lead change?
Onsides kick count as a fumble recovery?








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