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NFL Football - Free Picks
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Submitted: 06/16/2018 |
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- SUNDAY OVER 41.5 Wash/GBay = LOSE
SEASON: 19-20
NFL TRENDS HIT ICON
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2019 NFL FREE PICKS: 19-20 DEC: 2-2 8. OVER 41.5 Wash/GBay = LOSE 5. CHICAGO +3 vs. Dallas = WIN 2. SEATTLE -3 vs. Minny = WIN 1. OVER 44.5 NYG/GBAY = LOSE
NOV: 4-8 OCTOBER: 6-6 SEPT: 7-4
*** 2018/19 FREE NFL PICKS: 33-16-1 2017/18 FREE NFL PICKS: 29-18-5 2016/17 FREE NFL PICKS: 24-16-1 ************************ ************************ ************************ ***************** 2019 NFL TRENDS…thru week 13 Bears 17-7-2 ATS at home inc: 9-2-1 as home dog. Bears 15-3 UNDER run Bears 4-8 ATS last 12
Bengals 11-4 ATS as road dogs Bengals 11-4-2 UNDER run Bengals 2-9-1 ATS at Paul Brown inc: 1-4-1 this year
Bills 11-3 UNDER road games Bills: 6-0-2 ATS Road run
Broncos 14-25-1 ATS Broncos 22-9 Under Broncos 6-16 ATS RG
Browns 11-5 ATS as dog
Bucs 4-18 ATS as favs
Cards 19-9-1 UNDER at home Cards 8-5 OVER run
Chargers 13-5 ATS @ Oakland Chargers 13-6-2 ATS on road since moving to LA Chargers 9-4 UNDER run Chargers: Rivers is 26-14-2 ATS road AFC West games
Chiefs 10-4 ATS road games Chiefs: 12-0 ATS first 2 weeks of season last 5+ years Chiefs: 12-5 OVER last 17 games Chiefs 10-1 SU last 11 vs. Oakland inc: 7 in a row at home.
Cowboys 12-5 UNDER on road games Cowboys: 2-18-1 ATS as HF's when coming off a SU & ATS loss. Cowboys 20-35-1 ATS at home under Jason Garrett BUT 6-2-1 last 9
Dolphins 5-13 ATS on road Dolphins 4-9 ATS run
Eagles: 10-20-1 ATS since late 2017
Falcons 5-15 ATS last 20 road games Falcons 9-17 ATS run
G-Men 1-8 ATS at MetLife Giants 5-15 SU & 5-14-1 ATS @ home inc: 2-11-1 ATS last 14 Giants 12-7-1 OVER last 20
Jags: 7-16 SU, 7-14-2 ATS run Jets: 5-6 ATS last 11
Packers 36-24 OVER Packers 24-11 OVER home games
Panthers 5-11 SU & 6-10 ATS last 16 RG Panthers 21-11 ATS as dog
Pats 20-9 ATS hm inc: 15-5 ATS run PATS 28-15-2 ATS run Pats 29-1 SU last 29 w/ Tom Brady vs. Bills. Pats under 16-5 reg season play.
Raiders 4-17 SU & 5-15-1 ATS road games Raiders 5-2 ATS as a dog Raiders 19-12-1 UNDER run Raiders 15-21-3 ATS run (9-5 last 14) Raiders vs LA Chargers: Dog 16-5 last 21 in series Raiders 7-2 UNDER last 9 vs. KC
Rams: 10-4 ATS last 14 Rams: 7-1 ATS on road Rams: 10-2 UNDER on road
Ravens 3-8-1 ATS at M&T Bank Stadium Ravens 8-1 ATS on road Redskins 21-14 OVER on road Redskins 8-5 UNDER run
Saints: 7-2 ATS run
Seahawks 11-1 SU & 9-3 ATS vs. Niners Seahawks: 8-0 SU/7-1 ATS hosting 49ers…12-3-1 ATS in series Seahawks 13-7-2 ATS run Seahawks 27-11-3 ATS as a dog inc: 7-0 run Seahawks 14-5 OVER run Seahawks: 1-6 ATS home run
Steelers are 13-7 OVER at home Steelers 8-2 ATS since Big Ben got hurt Steelers: 10-2 ATS as dog since LY Steelers 10-3 UNDER run
Texans 13-8-1 ATS run Texans 9-5 UNDER run
Titans 20-5-2 ATS @ home Titans: 8-2 OVER at home
Vikes 17-10-1 UNDER run Vikes 11-5 Under at HG Vikes 3-6 last as dog Vikes 11-1 SU & 10-1-1 ATS game before a bye week
49ers are 4-13-1 ATS as home favs ****
2019/20 WORST BAD BEATS: OVER 50 Giants/Cardinals. Game had 31pts 3 minutes into the 2nd qtr and the game stays Under.
OVER 50 Dallas/Philly Game had 34 points at half-time...and stays Under.
UNDER 44 Jags/Bengals = PUSH 10-9 mid 4th until an Andy Dalton pick 6 and an oh-by-the-way TD spark a 25pt final 6 minutes and the game ends at 44pts. UGHHH ****
BIG NFL FAVS DON'T LOSE 6+pt Favorites: 2018/19: 84-23 SU & 51-54-2 ATS 2017/18: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS 2016/17: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS 2015/16: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS ****
NFL 2019/20 OVERS ATL FALCONS RSW o8˝-125 BUF BILLS RSW o6˝-130 DAL COWBOYS RSW o8˝-150 SEA SEAHAWKS RSW o8˝-105
UNDERS: NY JETS RSW 6˝ ARI CARDINALS 5˝ CLE BROWNS RSW 9˝ DET LIONS RSW u6˝-135 NY GIANTS RSW u6˝-150
NFL SUPERBOWL 54 ODDS ARI CARDINALS +12500 ATL FALCONS +2200 BAL RAVENS +2200 BUF BILLS +10000 CAR PANTHERS +4500 CHI BEARS +1300 CIN BENGALS +10000 CLE BROWNS +700 DAL COWBOYS +1700 DEN BRONCOS +4500 DET LIONS +8500 GB PACKERS +1300 HOU +2600 IND COLTS +1000 JAC JAGUARS +2600 KC CHIEFS +700 LA CHARGERS +1500 LA RAMS +700 MIA DOLPHINS +27500 MIN VIKINGS +1700 NE PATRIOTS +450 NO SAINTS +900 NY GIANTS +8500 NY JETS +4500 OAK RAIDERS +6800 PHI EAGLES +1300 PIT STEELERS +1300 SF 49ERS +3200 SEA SEAHAWKS +2600 TB BUCS +6500 TEN TITANS +5500 WAS REDSKINS +12500
MY SUPER BOWL PLAYS: FAVORITE: PATRIOTS +450 MID FAVORITE: LA CHARGERS 15-to-1
LONG SHOTS ATLANTA 22-to-1 JACKSONVILLE 26-to-1 SAN FRANCISCO 32-to-1
SUPER LONG SHOTS BUFFALO 100-to-1 MIAMI 275-to-1 ********
********* 2017/18 NFL VEGAS STATS REGULAR SEASON: HOME TMS: 143-108 SU & 127-117-8 ATS (4 Lon/1 Mex) FAVS: 181-74 SU & 134-102-9 ATS (1 game pick) D/D FAVS: 27-4 SU & 16-17 ATS 6pt+ FAVS: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS 3pt/less FAVS: 70-39 SU & 50-42-6 ATS 2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 33-38 SU & 34-34-3 ATS HOME DOGS: 34-63 SU & 46-47-4 ATS OVERS/UNDERS: 116-136-4
COMBINATIONS: FAVS/OVERS: 53 FAVS/UNDERS: 78 DOGS/OVER: 54 DOGS/UNDER: 60 **********
NFL 2016/17 REGULAR SEASON: HOME TMS: 151-100-1 SU & 119-122-11 ATS (4 gms N/A) 2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 28-36-1 SU & 29-33-2 ATS FAVS: 167-86-2 SU & 122-122-11 ATS (1gm Pick) D/D FAVS: 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS 6pt+ FAVS: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS 3pt/less FAVS: 59-38-2 SU & 52-43-4 ATS HOME DOGS: 30-48 SU & 36-43-4 ATS OVERS/UNDERS: 134-120-2
FAVS/OVERS: 65 FAVS/UNDERS: 62 DOGS/OVER: 62 DOGS/UNDER: 54 ***** 2015/16 REGULAR SEASON NFL HOME TEAMS: 136-117 SU...117-130-6 ATS (3 gms London) FAVORITES: 157-95 SU & 117-130-6 ATS (3 pickem) 10+PT FAVS: 15-5 SU & 9-11 ATS 3PT Favs or less: 46-47 SU & 38-49-6 ATS HOME DOGS: 32-53 SU & 42-41-3 ATS OVERS: 118 UNDERS: 131 PUSH: 4 ***** 2014/15 NFL REGULAR SEASON Home tms: 144-101-1 SU & 114-135-3 ATS (4 neutral) Home dogs: 26-49 SU & 35-41-1 ATS Favorites: 169-83-1 SU & 120-130-3 ATS (3 pickem games) 10pt Favs: 21-2 SU & 11-12 ATS 6pt+ Favs: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS OVERS/UNDERS: 117-137-2
COMBOS FAVS/OVERS: 54 FAVS/UNDERS: 64 DOGS/OVERS: 59 DOGS/UNDERS: 69 ********* 2013/14 REGULAR SEASON#'s HOME TEAMS: 152-101-1 SU & 136-112-6 ATS FAVORITES*: 179-75-1 SU & 132-115-8 ATS 10pts FAVS: 27-7 SU & 17-16-1 ATS HOME DOGS: 32-61 SU & 44-47-2 ATS OVERS/UNDERS: 134-118-4 GAMES DECIDED BY 7pts or less: 123 of 256
COMBOS FAVS/OVER: 66 FAVS/UNDER: 64 UNDERDOGS/OVER: 61 UNDERDOGS/UNDER: 54 ****** NFL 2012/13 regular season Home Teams: 126-139-4 ATS Home Dogs: 49-46-1 ATS Home Favs: 77-88-1 ATS ******
*************** SUPER BOWL HISTORY SB 52....PHILADELPHIA +4.5 41...Patriots 33...Dog/Over (48.5) SB 51....New England 34.(-3).Atlanta 28 OT....Fav/Over (59) SB 50....Denver 24.(+4.5)....Carolina 10......Dog/Under (43.5) SB 49....New England 28 (+1).Seattle 24.......Dog/Over (47.5) XLVIII.....Seattle 43 (+2.5)...Denver 8.........O/U: 47.5..UNDER... XLVII......Baltimore 34 (+4.5).San Francisco 31.O/U: 48....OVER...New Orleans, LA XLVI.......NY Giants 21 (+2.5) New England 17...O/U: 53....UNDER..Indy, Indiana XLV........Green Bay 31 (-3) ..Pittsburgh 25....O/U: 45....OVER...Arlington, TX XLIV.......New Orlean 31(+6)...Indy 17..........O/U: 55....UNDER..Miami, FL XLIII......Pitt 27.(-7)........Arizona 23.......O/U: 46....OVER...Tampa, FL XLII.......Giants 17.(+12).....NE Patriots 14...O/U: 55....UNDER Glendale, AZ XLI........Ind Colts 29.(-7)...Chicago 17.......O/U: 47....UNDER Miami, FL XL.........Pittsburgh 21 (-4)..Seattle 10.......O/U: 47....UNDER Detroit, MI XXXIX 2005.NE Patriots 24 (-7).Philly 21........O/U: 46.5 UNDER Jacksonville, FL XXXVIII....NE Pats 32 (-7).....Carolina 29......O/U: 37.5 OVER Houston, TX XXXVII.....TB Bucs 48 (+4).....Oakland 21.......O/U: 44....OVER San Diego, CA XXXVI 2002.NE Pats 20 (+14)....St. Louis 17.....O/U: 53....UNDER New Orleans, LA XXXV.......Baltimore 34 (-3)...NY Giants 7......O/U: 33....OVER Tampa, FL XXXIV 2000.STL Rams 23 (-7)....Tenn Titans 16...O/U: 47.5 UNDER Atlanta, GA XXXIII.....Denver 34 (-7.5)....Atlanta 19.......O/U: 52.5 OVER Miami, FL XXXII......Denver 31 (+11).....GB Packers 24....O/U: 49....OVER San Diego, CA XXXI.......Green Bay 35 (-14)..Patriots 21......O/U: 49....OVER New Orleans, LA XXX........Dallas 27 (-13.5)...Pittsurgh 17.....O/U: 51....UNDER Tempe, AZ XXIX.......SF 49ers 49 (-18.5).San Diego 26.....O/U: 53.5..OVER Miami, FL XXVIII.....Dallas 30 (-10.5)...Buffalo 13.......O/U: 50.5 UNDER Atlanta, GA XXVII......Dallas 52 (-6.5)....Buffalo 17.......O/U: 44.5 OVER Pasadena, CA XXVI.......Washington 37 (-7)..Buffalo 24.......O/U: 49....OVER Minneapolis, MN XXV........NY Giants 20 (+7)...Buffalo 19.......O/U: 40.5 UNDER Tampa, FL XXIV 1990..SF 49ers 55 (-12)...Denver 10........O/U: 48....OVER New Orleans, LA XXIII 1989 SF 49ers 20 (-7)....Cincinnati 16....O/U: 48....UNDER Miami, FL XXII 1988..Washington 42 (+3)..Denver 10........O/U: 47....OVER San Diego, CA XXI 1987...NY Giants 39 (-9.5).Denver 20........O/U: 40....OVER Pasadena, CA XX 1986....Chicago (-10).......NE Patriots 10...O/U: 37.5 OVER New Orleans, LA XIX 1985...49ers 38 (-3.5).....Miami 16.........O/U: 53.5 OVER Stanford, CA XVIII......LA Raiders 38(+3)...Washington 9.....O/U: 48....UNDER Tampa, FL XVII.......Washington 27(+3)...Miami 17.........O/U: 36.5 OVER Pasadena, CA XVI........SF 49ers 26 (-1)....Cincinnati 21....O/U: 48....UNDER Pontiac, MI XV.........Oakland 27 (+3).....Phil Eagles 10...O/U: 37.5 UNDER New Orleans, LA XIV........Pitt 31 (-10.5).....LA Rams 19.......O/U: 36....OVER Pasadena, CA XIII.......Pitt 35 (-3.5)......Dallas 31........O/U: 37....OVER Miami, FL XII........Dallas 27 (-6)......Denver 10........O/U: 39....UNDER New Orleans, LA XI.........Oakland 32 (-4).....Minnesota 14.....O/U: 38....OVER Pasadena, CA X..........Pitt 21 (-7)........Dallas 17........O/U: 36....OVER Miami, FL IX 1975....Pitt 16 (-3)........Minn Vikings 6...O/U: 33....UNDER New Orleans, LA VIII 1974..Miami 24 (-6.5).....Minn Vikings 7...O/U: 33....UNDER Houston, TX VII 1973...Miami 14 (-1).......Washington 7.....O/U: 33....UNDER Los Angeles, CA VI 1972....Dallas 24 (-6)......Miami 3..........O/U: 34....UNDER New Orleans, LA V 1971.....Baltimore 16(-2.5)..Dallas 13........O/U: 36....UNDER Miami, FL IV 1970....KC Chiefs 23 (+12)..Minneosta 7......O/U: 39....UNDER New Orleans, LA III 1969...NY Jets 16 (+18)....Baltimore 7......O/U: 40....UNDER Miami, FL II 1968....GB 33 (-13.5).......Oakland 14.......O/U: 43....OVER Miami, FL I 1967.....GB 35 (-14).........KC Chiefs 10.....O/U: NL....LA, CA
SB tams that fail to score 21 pts in the SB are 2-22 SU & 4-19-1 ATS. (Exception..Giants over the Patriots 17-14 in SBXLII & Pats in SB 53 13-3 over Rams)
Super Bowl teams scoring at least 27pts are 27-4 SU & 24-6-1 ATS. (Exceptions Carolina (29) vs. Pats, SF (31) vs. Balt, Atl 28 vs. Pats, Pats vs. Eagles ***************
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