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FREE Submitted: 06/16/2018

- MONDAY
SEATTLE +6 @ SF = WIN

SEASON: 16-12

NFL TRENDS **************
**************

2019 NFL FREE PICKS: 16-12
NOV: 3-2
11. SEATTLE +6 @ San Fran = WIN
10. OVER 47 Carolina/GBAY = LOSE
7. UNDER 48.5 LA/Oakland = LOSE
4. DALLAS -6.5 @ Giants = WIN
3. PITT Pk vs. Colts = WIN

OCTOBER: 6-6
SEPT: 7-4

***
2018/19 FREE NFL PICKS: 33-16-1
2017/18 FREE NFL PICKS: 29-18-5
2016/17 FREE NFL PICKS: 24-16-1
**************


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2019 NFL TRENDS…thru week 10
Bears 16-7-2 ATS at home inc: 9-2-1 as home dog. Bears 13-3 UNDER run
Bears 3-7 ATS last 10 overall


Bengals 10-4 ATS as road dogs
Bengals 8-4-2 UNDER last 14


Bills 11-2 UNDER road games
Bills: 5-0-2 ATS Road run


Broncos 12-25-1 ATS
Broncos 22-7 Under Broncos 6-15 ATS RG


Browns 11-5 ATS as dog
Browns: 1-4 ATS home


Bucs 4-18 ATS as favs

Cards 19-9-1 UNDER at home

Chargers 13-5 ATS @ Oakland Chargers 13-5-2 ATS on road since moving to LA
Chargers 9-3 UNDER run
Chargers: Rivers is 26-13-2 ATS road AFC West games

Chiefs 10-4 ATS road games
Chiefs: 12-0 ATS first 2 weeks of season last 5+ years
Chiefs: 12-4 OVER last 16 games

Cowboys 11-4 UNDER on road games
Cowboys: 2-18-1 ATS as HF's when coming off a SU & ATS loss.
Cowboys 20-35-1 ATS at home under Jason Garrett BUT 6-2-1 last 9



Dolphins 5-12 ATS on road Dolphins 4-7 ATS run

Falcons 4-15 ATS last 19 road games Falcons 8-16 ATS run

Giants 5-14 SU & 5-13-1 ATS @ home inc: 2-10-1 ATS last 13
Giants 12-6 OVER last 18

Jags: 7-14 SU, 7-12-2 ATS run

Jets: 3-6 ATS last 9

Packers 36-23 OVER Packers 24-11 OVER home games

Panthers 5-10 SU & ATS last 15 RG
Panthers 20-11 ATS as dog


Pats 20-8 ATS hm inc: 15-4 ATS run
PATS 27-13-2 ATS run Pats 29-1 SU last 29 w/ Tom Brady vs. Bills. Pats under 14-4 reg season play.

Raiders 4-16 SU & 5-14-1 ATS road games
Raiders 17-12-1 UNDER run
Raiders 14-20-3 ATS run (9-3 last 12)
Raiders vs LA Chargers: Dog 16-5 last 21 in series


Rams: 8-3 ATS last 11
Rams: 6-1 ATS on road
Rams: 9-2 UNDER on road



Ravens 2-8-1 ATS at home
Ravens 7-1 ATS on road

Redskins 21-14 OVER on road

Saints: 6-1 ATS run

Seahawks 11-1 SU & 9-3 ATS vs. Niners Seahawks: 8-0 SU/7-1 ATS hosting 49ers…12-3-1 ATS in series
Seahawks 11-7-2 ATS run Seahawks 27-11-3 ATS as a dog inc: 7-0 run
Seahawks 13-4 OVER run
Seahawks: 0-6 ATS home run


Steelers are 13-6 OVER at home
Steelers 6-1 ATS since Big Ben got hurt
Steelers: 9-1 ATS as dog since LY


Texans 12-6-1 ATS run

Titans 19-5-2 ATS @ home
Titans: 7-2 OVER at home


Vikes 17-9-1 UNDER run Vikes 11-4 Under at HG
Vikes 3-6 last as dog


49ers are 3-13 ATS as home favs
****



2019/20 WORST BAD BEATS:
OVER 50 Giants/Cardinals.
Game had 31pts 3 minutes into the 2nd qtr and the game stays Under.

OVER 50 Dallas/Philly
Game had 34 points at half-time...and stays Under.

UNDER 44 Jags/Bengals = PUSH
10-9 mid 4th until an Andy Dalton pick 6 and an oh-by-the-way TD spark a 25pt final 6 minutes and the game ends at 44pts. UGHHH
****



BIG NFL FAVS DON'T LOSE
6+pt Favorites:
2018/19: 84-23 SU & 51-54-2 ATS
2017/18: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
2016/17: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
2015/16: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
****


NFL 2019/20 OVERS
ATL FALCONS RSW o8˝-125
BUF BILLS RSW o6˝-130
DAL COWBOYS RSW o8˝-150
SEA SEAHAWKS RSW o8˝-105


UNDERS:
NY JETS RSW 6˝
ARI CARDINALS 5˝
CLE BROWNS RSW 9˝
DET LIONS RSW u6˝-135
NY GIANTS RSW u6˝-150


NFL SUPERBOWL 54 ODDS
ARI CARDINALS +12500
ATL FALCONS +2200
BAL RAVENS +2200
BUF BILLS +10000
CAR PANTHERS +4500
CHI BEARS +1300
CIN BENGALS +10000
CLE BROWNS +700
DAL COWBOYS +1700
DEN BRONCOS +4500
DET LIONS +8500
GB PACKERS +1300
HOU +2600
IND COLTS +1000
JAC JAGUARS +2600
KC CHIEFS +700
LA CHARGERS +1500
LA RAMS +700
MIA DOLPHINS +27500
MIN VIKINGS +1700
NE PATRIOTS +450
NO SAINTS +900
NY GIANTS +8500
NY JETS +4500
OAK RAIDERS +6800
PHI EAGLES +1300
PIT STEELERS +1300
SF 49ERS +3200
SEA SEAHAWKS +2600
TB BUCS +6500
TEN TITANS +5500
WAS REDSKINS +12500


MY SUPER BOWL PLAYS:
FAVORITE: PATRIOTS +450
MID FAVORITE: LA CHARGERS 15-to-1

LONG SHOTS
ATLANTA 22-to-1
JACKSONVILLE 26-to-1
SAN FRANCISCO 32-to-1


SUPER LONG SHOTS
BUFFALO 100-to-1
MIAMI 275-to-1
********



*********
2017/18 NFL VEGAS STATS REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 143-108 SU & 127-117-8 ATS (4 Lon/1 Mex)
FAVS: 181-74 SU & 134-102-9 ATS (1 game pick)
D/D FAVS: 27-4 SU & 16-17 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 70-39 SU & 50-42-6 ATS
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 33-38 SU & 34-34-3 ATS
HOME DOGS: 34-63 SU & 46-47-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 116-136-4

COMBINATIONS:
FAVS/OVERS: 53 FAVS/UNDERS: 78
DOGS/OVER: 54 DOGS/UNDER: 60
**********

NFL 2016/17 REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 151-100-1 SU & 119-122-11 ATS (4 gms N/A)
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 28-36-1 SU & 29-33-2 ATS
FAVS: 167-86-2 SU & 122-122-11 ATS (1gm Pick)
D/D FAVS: 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 59-38-2 SU & 52-43-4 ATS
HOME DOGS: 30-48 SU & 36-43-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-120-2

FAVS/OVERS: 65 FAVS/UNDERS: 62
DOGS/OVER: 62 DOGS/UNDER: 54
*****
2015/16 REGULAR SEASON NFL
HOME TEAMS: 136-117 SU...117-130-6 ATS (3 gms London)
FAVORITES: 157-95 SU & 117-130-6 ATS (3 pickem)
10+PT FAVS: 15-5 SU & 9-11 ATS
3PT Favs or less: 46-47 SU & 38-49-6 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-53 SU & 42-41-3 ATS
OVERS: 118
UNDERS: 131
PUSH: 4
*****
2014/15 NFL REGULAR SEASON
Home tms: 144-101-1 SU & 114-135-3 ATS (4 neutral)
Home dogs: 26-49 SU & 35-41-1 ATS
Favorites: 169-83-1 SU & 120-130-3 ATS
(3 pickem games)
10pt Favs: 21-2 SU & 11-12 ATS
6pt+ Favs: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 117-137-2

COMBOS
FAVS/OVERS: 54 FAVS/UNDERS: 64
DOGS/OVERS: 59 DOGS/UNDERS: 69
*********
2013/14 REGULAR SEASON#'s
HOME TEAMS: 152-101-1 SU & 136-112-6 ATS
FAVORITES*: 179-75-1 SU & 132-115-8 ATS
10pts FAVS: 27-7 SU & 17-16-1 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-61 SU & 44-47-2 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-118-4
GAMES DECIDED BY 7pts or less: 123 of 256

COMBOS
FAVS/OVER: 66 FAVS/UNDER: 64
UNDERDOGS/OVER: 61 UNDERDOGS/UNDER: 54
******
NFL 2012/13 regular season
Home Teams: 126-139-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 49-46-1 ATS
Home Favs: 77-88-1 ATS
****** ***************
SUPER BOWL HISTORY
SB 52....PHILADELPHIA +4.5 41...Patriots 33...Dog/Over (48.5)
SB 51....New England 34.(-3).Atlanta 28 OT....Fav/Over (59)
SB 50....Denver 24.(+4.5)....Carolina 10......Dog/Under (43.5)
SB 49....New England 28 (+1).Seattle 24.......Dog/Over (47.5)
XLVIII.....Seattle 43 (+2.5)...Denver 8.........O/U: 47.5..UNDER...
XLVII......Baltimore 34 (+4.5).San Francisco 31.O/U: 48....OVER...New Orleans, LA
XLVI.......NY Giants 21 (+2.5) New England 17...O/U: 53....UNDER..Indy, Indiana
XLV........Green Bay 31 (-3) ..Pittsburgh 25....O/U: 45....OVER...Arlington, TX
XLIV.......New Orlean 31(+6)...Indy 17..........O/U: 55....UNDER..Miami, FL
XLIII......Pitt 27.(-7)........Arizona 23.......O/U: 46....OVER...Tampa, FL
XLII.......Giants 17.(+12).....NE Patriots 14...O/U: 55....UNDER Glendale, AZ
XLI........Ind Colts 29.(-7)...Chicago 17.......O/U: 47....UNDER Miami, FL
XL.........Pittsburgh 21 (-4)..Seattle 10.......O/U: 47....UNDER Detroit, MI
XXXIX 2005.NE Patriots 24 (-7).Philly 21........O/U: 46.5 UNDER Jacksonville, FL
XXXVIII....NE Pats 32 (-7).....Carolina 29......O/U: 37.5 OVER Houston, TX
XXXVII.....TB Bucs 48 (+4).....Oakland 21.......O/U: 44....OVER San Diego, CA
XXXVI 2002.NE Pats 20 (+14)....St. Louis 17.....O/U: 53....UNDER New Orleans, LA
XXXV.......Baltimore 34 (-3)...NY Giants 7......O/U: 33....OVER Tampa, FL
XXXIV 2000.STL Rams 23 (-7)....Tenn Titans 16...O/U: 47.5 UNDER Atlanta, GA
XXXIII.....Denver 34 (-7.5)....Atlanta 19.......O/U: 52.5 OVER Miami, FL
XXXII......Denver 31 (+11).....GB Packers 24....O/U: 49....OVER San Diego, CA
XXXI.......Green Bay 35 (-14)..Patriots 21......O/U: 49....OVER New Orleans, LA
XXX........Dallas 27 (-13.5)...Pittsurgh 17.....O/U: 51....UNDER Tempe, AZ
XXIX.......SF 49ers 49 (-18.5).San Diego 26.....O/U: 53.5..OVER Miami, FL
XXVIII.....Dallas 30 (-10.5)...Buffalo 13.......O/U: 50.5 UNDER Atlanta, GA
XXVII......Dallas 52 (-6.5)....Buffalo 17.......O/U: 44.5 OVER Pasadena, CA
XXVI.......Washington 37 (-7)..Buffalo 24.......O/U: 49....OVER Minneapolis, MN
XXV........NY Giants 20 (+7)...Buffalo 19.......O/U: 40.5 UNDER Tampa, FL
XXIV 1990..SF 49ers 55 (-12)...Denver 10........O/U: 48....OVER New Orleans, LA
XXIII 1989 SF 49ers 20 (-7)....Cincinnati 16....O/U: 48....UNDER Miami, FL
XXII 1988..Washington 42 (+3)..Denver 10........O/U: 47....OVER San Diego, CA
XXI 1987...NY Giants 39 (-9.5).Denver 20........O/U: 40....OVER Pasadena, CA
XX 1986....Chicago (-10).......NE Patriots 10...O/U: 37.5 OVER New Orleans, LA
XIX 1985...49ers 38 (-3.5).....Miami 16.........O/U: 53.5 OVER Stanford, CA
XVIII......LA Raiders 38(+3)...Washington 9.....O/U: 48....UNDER Tampa, FL
XVII.......Washington 27(+3)...Miami 17.........O/U: 36.5 OVER Pasadena, CA
XVI........SF 49ers 26 (-1)....Cincinnati 21....O/U: 48....UNDER Pontiac, MI
XV.........Oakland 27 (+3).....Phil Eagles 10...O/U: 37.5 UNDER New Orleans, LA
XIV........Pitt 31 (-10.5).....LA Rams 19.......O/U: 36....OVER Pasadena, CA
XIII.......Pitt 35 (-3.5)......Dallas 31........O/U: 37....OVER Miami, FL
XII........Dallas 27 (-6)......Denver 10........O/U: 39....UNDER New Orleans, LA
XI.........Oakland 32 (-4).....Minnesota 14.....O/U: 38....OVER Pasadena, CA
X..........Pitt 21 (-7)........Dallas 17........O/U: 36....OVER Miami, FL
IX 1975....Pitt 16 (-3)........Minn Vikings 6...O/U: 33....UNDER New Orleans, LA
VIII 1974..Miami 24 (-6.5).....Minn Vikings 7...O/U: 33....UNDER Houston, TX
VII 1973...Miami 14 (-1).......Washington 7.....O/U: 33....UNDER Los Angeles, CA
VI 1972....Dallas 24 (-6)......Miami 3..........O/U: 34....UNDER New Orleans, LA
V 1971.....Baltimore 16(-2.5)..Dallas 13........O/U: 36....UNDER Miami, FL
IV 1970....KC Chiefs 23 (+12)..Minneosta 7......O/U: 39....UNDER New Orleans, LA
III 1969...NY Jets 16 (+18)....Baltimore 7......O/U: 40....UNDER Miami, FL
II 1968....GB 33 (-13.5).......Oakland 14.......O/U: 43....OVER Miami, FL
I 1967.....GB 35 (-14).........KC Chiefs 10.....O/U: NL....LA, CA


SB tams that fail to score 21 pts in the SB are 2-22 SU & 4-19-1 ATS.
(Exception..Giants over the Patriots 17-14 in SBXLII & Pats in SB 53 13-3 over Rams)

Super Bowl teams scoring at least 27pts are 27-4 SU & 24-6-1 ATS.
(Exceptions Carolina (29) vs. Pats, SF (31) vs. Balt, Atl 28 vs. Pats, Pats vs. Eagles
***************

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MONDAY
SEATTLE +6 @ SF = WIN

SEASON: 16-12

NFL TRENDS
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UNDER 128.5 McNeese/Wisky

2019/20: 5-2


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6-4-1
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